MVC: school "strength" of OOC schedule [2023-2024], based on 2022-2023 NET ranking

ISU86

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I went through each school's non-conference schedule and calculated an overall average rating (based on the opponent's NCAA Men's Basketball NET ranking at the end of the season). If a school is in a tournament, the opponents were weighted based on the round in which as school would play the opposition. For example, the Redbirds have a 100% chance to play the Beach, a 50% chance to play either the Gaels or Panthers (equals 100) and a 25% chance to play one of the Bulls, Pride, Ragin' Cajuns or Raiders (equals 100); ISU could end up with a better rating if they play Iona and Hofstra or a worse rating if they play High Point and Wright State. Finally, as with the NET, non-Division I opponents are excluded.

NOTE: this could be better if there was any sort consensus as to which "preview" was considered most accurate for the coming season.


Here is each MVC school's NET ranking for last season.

1.) Drake: 59
2.) Bradley: 78
3.) Indiana State: 100
4.) Belmont: 119
5.) Southern Illinois: 122
6.) Missouri State: 144
7.) Murray State: 214
8.) Northern Iowa: 218
9.) Illinois State: 283
10.) Illinois-Chicago: 288
11.) Valparaiso: 294
12.) Evansville: 352


The overall average opposition rating per school this season (a median Division I rating would be 182) based on NET last season.

1.) Northern Iowa: 137
2.) Bradley: 144
3.) Drake: 158
4.) Missouri State: 165
5.) Illinois State: 174
6.) Belmont: 183
7.) Southern Illinois: 183
8.) Indiana State: 183
9.) Evansville: 204
10.) Murray State: 206
11.) Illinois-Chicago: 242
12.) Valparaiso: 246


Quick glimpse for each school (best and worse (with last's season NET rating) and any non-DI opposition).

Belmont
best: at Arizona [10]
worst: vs Monmouth [351]
non-DI: Berry

Bradley
best: Utah State [23]
worst: Southern Illinois-Edwardsville [221] {could face vs California [315]}
non-DI: Truman State

Drake
best: at Alabama-Birmingham [39] {could face vs Utah State [23]}
worst: Texas Southern [307]
non-DI: Southwest Minnesota State

Evansville
best: at Cincinnati [63]
worst: Miami (Ohio) [287]
non-DI: Health Sciences And Pharmacy

Illinois State
best: at Kentucky [26]
worst: Eastern Illinois [345]
non-DI: Lourdes

Illinois-Chicago
best: at Cincinnati [63]
worst: Wisconsin-Green Bay [361]
non-DI: Aurora

Indiana State
best: at Alabama [2]
worst: Indiana/Purdue-Indianapolis [360]
non-DI: Saint Mary Of The Woods

Missouri State
best: at Saint Mary's [12]
worst: South Carolina State [347]
non-DI: n/a

Murray State
best: at Mississippi State [53]
worst: at Austin Peay State [325]
non-DI: Midway

Northern Iowa
best: at North Texas [30] {could face vs Arkansas [20], vs Memphis [22]}
worst: Prairie View A&M [281]
non-DI: Loras

Southern Illinois
best: Oklahoma State [42]
worst: Austin Peay State [325]
non-DI: Kentucky State

Valparaiso
best: at Illinois [36]
worst: Wisconsin-Green Bay [361]
non-DI: Trinity Christian


Finally, list of all opponents in NET rating order (undetermined tournament opposition listed at bottom for each school):

Northern Iowa [137]
at North Texas [30]
vs North Carolina [44]
at Toledo [82]
at South Florida [159]
Richmond [160]
Alcorn State [245]
at Northern Illinois [255]
Prairie View A&M [281]
Loras [n/a]
vs Texas Tech [62]/Villanova [71]
vs Arkansas [20]/Memphis [22]/Michigan [57]/Stanford [96]


Bradley [144]
Utah State [23]
at Alabama-Birmingham [39]
vs Tulane [107]
Vermont [112]
vs Duquesne [137]
Tarleton State [165]
Cleveland State [185]
at Akron [205]
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville [221]
Truman State [n/a]
vs Texas-El Paso [182]/California [315]

Drake [158]
at Alabama-Birmingham [39]
vs Nevada [48]
Saint Louis [97]
Lipscomb [147]
Grambling State [186]
Alcorn State [245]
vs Oakland [276]
Texas Southern [307]
Southwest Minnesota State [n/a]
vs Loyola Marymount [111]/Stephen F Austin [136]
vs Utah State [23]/Marshall [83]/Akron [105]/Florida International [216]


Missouri State [165]
at Saint Mary's [11]
at West Virginia [24]
Oral Roberts [50]
Sam Houston State [69]
at Middle Tennessee State [109]
vs Florida Gulf Coast [181]
at Tulsa [324]
Lindenwood [338]
South Carolina State [347]
vs Kent State [68]/Hampton [348]
vs San Jose State [99]/Fordham [132]/Norfolk State [183]/Abilene Christian [204]


Illinois State [174]
at Kentucky [26]
at Saint Louis [97]
Northern Kentucky [151]
vs Long Beach State [167]
Norfolk State [183]
North Dakota State [217]
Southeast Missouri State [243]
Eastern Illinois [345]
Lourdes [n/a]
vs Iona [60]/High Point [290]
vs Hofstra [85]/Louisiana [86]/Buffalo [194]/Wright State [197]


Belmont [183]
at Arizona [10]
at Furman [88]
at Middle Tennessee State [109]
at Samford [135]
at Penn [138]
Lipscomb [147]
vs Lafayette [271]
Arkansas State [285]
Georgia State [291]
vs Monmouth [351]
Berry [n/a]

Southern Illinois [183]
Oklahoma State [42]
vs James Madison [95]
Saint Louis [97]
at Wichita State [110]
Queens [202]
North Dakota State [217]
Southern Indiana [266]
Chicago State [302]
Austin Peay State [325]
Kentucky State [n/a]
vs Fresno State [148]/New Mexico State [191]

Indiana State [183]
at Alabama [2]
at Michigan State [33]
vs Toledo [82]
vs Ball State [156]
vs Rice [188]
vs Pepperdine [208]
at Northern Illinois [255]
Southern Indiana [266]
Tennessee State [280]
Indiana/Purdue-Indianapolis [360]
Saint Mary Of The Woods [n/a]

Evansville [204]
at Cincinnati [63]
at Brigham Young [84]
Ball State [156]
at Tennessee-Chattanooga [178]
vs Southeast Missouri State [243]
at Southeast Missouri State [243]
Tennessee-Martin [251]
at Bellarmine [258]
Tennessee Tech [274]
Miami (Ohio) [287]
Health Sciences And Pharmacy [n/a]

Murray State [206]
at Mississippi State [53]
Middle Tennessee State [109]
vs North Carolina-Wilmington [141]
Western Kentucky [169]
vs Appalachian State [196]
Southern Methodist [209]
Southeastern Louisiana [257]
Tennessee Tech [274]
at Arkansas-Little Rock [323]
at Austin Peay State [325]
Midway [n/a]

Illinois-Chicago [242]
at Cincinnati [63]
vs Middle Tennessee State [109]
at Jacksonville State [241]
at Loyola-Chicago [269]
Arkansas-Little Rock [323]
Western Michigan [326]
Incarnate Word [344]
Wisconsin-Green Bay [361]
Aurora [n/a]
vs Ohio [133]/George Washington [211]
vs North Carolina-Greensboro [117]/Brown [176]/Delaware [224]/Missouri-Kansas City [313]


Valparaiso [246]
at Illinois [36]
at Virginia Tech [75]
Samford [135]
Western Illinois [248]
Southern [278]
Chicago State [302]
at Central Michigan [331]
at Elon [337]
Indiana/Purdue-Indianapolis [360]
Wisconsin-Green Bay [361]
Trinity Christian [n/a]​
 

SgtHulka

Well-known member
Joined
Jul 17, 2017
Messages
6,985
Very nice!


orson welles applause GIF
 

Birdland

Member
Joined
Jun 27, 2019
Messages
60
Great work! For those wondering, Health Sciences and Pharmacy are the Eutectics, and they compete at the NAIA level.
 
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