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Looks like this conversation was getting started so creating its own thread. This guy always does a good job of laying out the probabilities

Good lineup here https://twitter.com/jonrothstein/status/1192502992362233856?s=21

Since most of the board likes to overreact to every loss figured we need to over react to a win. Screw it, Let’s give Dan another extension! Over 40 games above .500 winning record and team consistently is in upper half of conference competing for a tourney bid, show him the money! The...

Per Redbird MBB twitter Elijah is foregoing last 3 years of eligibility to go pro overseas https://goredbirds.com/news/2018/7/30/mens-basketball-elijah-clarance-to-turn-professional.aspx